Dynamics of Potential Distribution of Cyclobalanopsis Forest in Guizhou Province of China under Global Climate Change
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    Abstract:

    In order to understand the potential distribution characters of Cyclobalanopsis forest in Guizhou Province, based on the current distribution data, and combined with current climate data and future climate change scenario (RCP8.5 scenario, 2070-2099), the Maxent potential distribution modeling was established to predict the changes of potential distribution of Cyclobalanopsis forest in Guizhou Province. The results showed that the dominant climatic factors affecting its potential distribution were mean temperature of the coldest quarter (bio11), min. temperature of the coldest month (bio6) and annual precipitation (bio12). Under the RCP8.5 scenario, potential habitat area of Cyclobalanopsis forest in Guizhou would increase than that under current climatic conditions, there were 19 419 km2 for moderate suitable habitat and 9 944 km2 for high suitable habitat, respectively. The mean altitude of moderate suitable habitat would increase 126 m, and 85 m for high suitable habitat. In general, Cyclobalanopsis forest in Guizhou Province wouldn't be sensitive to the global climate change.

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李望军,冯图,崔涛,杨婧,周瑞伍,陈丽,彭明春.全球气候变化下贵州省青冈林的潜在生境动态[J].热带亚热带植物学报,2020,28(2):145~152

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History
  • Received:September 23,2019
  • Revised:December 03,2019
  • Adopted:
  • Online: March 24,2020
  • Published: